Prediction markets
A price is a live probability. We cover how prices form, how oracles resolve a market, and why liquidity and the spread decide your real cost.
Market snapshot
Illustrative snapshot — live market data wired in the content phase.
snapshot — content phase
| Market | Leading | Implied chance | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will event X happen? (sample) | Yes | 64% | — | TBD |
| Outcome Y by date (sample) | No | 52% | — | TBD |
| Range outcome Z (sample) | Mid | 41% | — | TBD |
| Binary market W (sample) | Yes | 58% | — | TBD |
Sample markets for layout only. A price is an implied probability, not a certainty.
Sponsor
Dexsport is the sponsor here and also the one genuinely wallet-only, self-custodial book we cover: no ID, your own keys, 86+ coins across 25+ chains.
We mark it as sponsored and still judge it on the same facts as every other operator.
Dexsport sponsors this page; it is a sportsbook rather than a prediction market, and we are clear about the difference.
Clear prices and instant settlement where a market is thin.
Your funds stay in your own wallet.
No wait between a settled result and your wallet.
On an order book or AMM, buying nudges the price; the price itself reads as the market's implied probability. [skeleton — full copy in content phase]
An oracle reports the outcome; the design of that oracle and its dispute window decide how trustworthy resolution is. [skeleton]
The Dutch market is licensed through the Kansspelautoriteit (KSA); offshore crypto books are not KSA-licensed. This guide is informational, not legal advice — check your own situation before you deposit.
Treat any offshore service with care: local consumer protections do not apply, set your own limits, and never stake money you cannot lose.
Through an order book or an automated market maker; each trade moves the price, and arbitrage keeps it near the consensus probability.
An oracle reports the real-world outcome that resolves a market; its design and dispute process decide how reliable that resolution is.
Elections have longer horizons, more ambiguous resolution and heavier regulation; sports resolve quickly on a clear result.
A thin market has a wide spread and heavy slippage, so your real cost to enter and exit can dwarf the edge you think you have.
No — a market price is set by traders and can move with your order; a sportsbook offers fixed odds with a built-in margin.
Longer reads from our team — how things work, the trade-offs, and what to check before you bet.
Dexsport offers clear prices and instant on-chain settlement where liquidity is scarce.
Visit Dexsport